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ڸy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̸̽{(dio)

l(f)rg:2020-11-16 Դ: vԒl(f) c

P(gun)ڸУy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̸̽ĵ{(dio) ýy(tng)Ӌ(jng)F(xin)Mжѽ(jng)ڽ(jng)ڵоI(lng)ռy(tng)Ӌѽ(jng)ɞ齛(jng)ڵSW(xu)оҪֶ֮һ 20 o 90 _ʼy(tng)ӋW(xu)nОؔ(jng)I(y)ƌI(y)ĺın[1-2]Ŀͨ^y(tng)ӋW(xu)ČW(xu)(x)ʹW(xu)սy(tng)Ӌ{(dio)顢y(tng)Ӌ(sh)(j)y(tng)ӋͽQH}{(dio)Ŀ˽Уǰy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵Ľ̌W(xu)F(xin)̌W(xu)(ni)ݺ͌W(xu)ČW(xu)(x)F(xin)Y(ji)ͽl(f)չҪMн̌W(xu)̽(gu)Ԫ̌W(xu)ģʽʹW(xu)ڻսy(tng)Ӌ˼y(tng)ӋԼýy(tng)Ӌy(tng)Ӌܛ(jng)F(xin)

һYρԴ {(dio)þW(wng)φ{(dio)ʽLߵľxW(xu)Уؔ(jng)CԵȶУI(y)ֲVռ 185 ޳]_O(sh)y(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵ĆЧ 164 ռ 88.65%LߵČI(y)Ҫֲڽy(tng)ӋW(xu)(jng)W(xu)Լt(y)W(xu){(dio)鸲wČI(y)^ȫӱϢ^

y(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵Ľ̌W(xu)F(xin) һy(tng)Ӌ̲ĵʹr

ĿǰУȱm(yng)ǽy(tng)ӋI(y)Ҏ(gu)y(tng)Ӌ̲y(tng)Ӌ̲Ҫ֞鑪(yng)ͺՓ̓y(tng)ӋI(y)ώͨעՓ֪RĹݔB(yng)(sh)W(xu)߉݋˼SʹõĽy(tng)Ӌ̲ƫՓعʽƌ(do)ǽy(tng)ӋI(y)ώʹý̲rRy(tng)ӋnᘌͬI(y)xĽ̲ҲһwǷǽy(tng)ӋI(y)x(yng)ͽ̲ľӶࡣy(tng)ӋI(y)мs 73%ώxõĽ̲Փ͵̲ƫy{(dio)y(tng)Ӌ(yng)õռ 25%I(y)y(tng)Ӌ̲Ľ^󲿷Ǒ(yng)ƫ͵ģI(y)䔵(sh)W(xu)A(ch)^ώxõĽ̲ij^һƫՓĽy(tng)ӋI(y)̲ġᘌǽy(tng)ӋI(y)̲ĵx^\y(tng)

y(tng)Ӌn̵nrr ͨ^{(dio)l(f)F(xin)ĿǰܶУĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)nr 48 W(xu)rώvA(ch)Փ󣬛]жĕrgW(xu)vMЌ`\˰@҂ՆP(gun)“y(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵nr(sh)”Y(ji)M 142 ݆аl(f)F(xin) 75 x48 W(xu)rнy(tng)ӋI(y)W(xu)ռ 48%67 x 32 W(xu)r@f 47.18%LĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)nr(sh) 48 W(xu)r@Ҳ(do)½̎ɽ̌W(xu)΄(w)Փԃ(ni)v^`vԣy(tng)Ӌo둪(yng)

y(tng)Ӌn̵Ľ̌W(xu)

y(tng)ӋW(xu)Ƽȏ{(dio)Փć֔ԣעطm䱾ҪƏVn_O(sh)һy(tng)Ӌѽ(jng)B뵽ȻƌW(xu)ƌW(xu)ȶW(xu)I(lng)һûؚw(sh)ӋȽy(tng)ӋQڌHеĺ(sh)(j)ѲЌHֻнy(tng)Ӌܛ܌F(xin)ͨ^{(dio)l(f)F(xin)s 62%LڌW(xu)УĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)n_O(sh)^nнy(tng)ӋW(xu)I(y)ռ 43.56% 38%L߱ʾy(tng)ӋW(xu)ֻՓnfܶУy(tng)ӋW(xu)nƏV߀]ҕ͌ܛEXCEL ʹl(sh)ܛ SPSS EVIEWS҂֪@Nܛɲ^^EXCELSASR Matlab ̼g(sh)Ҫ^ڔ(sh)W(xu)A(ch)^鱡Ľ(jng)I(y)W(xu)ԴpСͬrW(xu)(x)ܛČW(xu)Ҫڽy(tng)ӋI(y)I(y)@ҲV̌W(xu)vڌnrҪ(j)W(xu)ČHxmܛMн̌W(xu)ʹy(tng)Ӌ܉Чصõ(yng)

ģy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵Ľ̌W(xu)c y(tng)ӋW(xu)x_(sh)W(xu)x_(f)sĔ(sh)W(xu)ʽyĸؚwϵ(sh)ĹӋȵҪW(xu)Ĕ(sh)W(xu)@Щ(jng)I(y)ČW(xu)y(tng)ӋW(xu)oһTyČW(xu)ơώǷ܌֪RD(zhun)ȤİҲһNā󲿷ώ{(dio)Փעعʽƌ(do)_ 41.1%

MЌHռ 33.13%xՓDD`Ԫģʽ̌W(xu)ı 25.77%

P(gun)ڽ̎nc̎W(xu)ʽ̌W(xu)߀]ڸУĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)nϵԏVČʩώȻ䮔ǡ̎ηݔ֪Rı_ 84%кwHռ 31%nÇCvՓռ 53%@ŇW(xu)ģʽһı׶ˣһnñ^ӲW(xu)ķeOy{(dio)һώy(tng)ӋԭһBA(ch)^ČW(xu)׮a(chn)|(do)½̌W(xu)Ч롣

壩y(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵Ŀ˷ʽ ͿˬF(xin)ԣĿԇyϵ(sh)nI(y)rͿʽ@ԇyϵ(sh)چǸ(j)“n̿ԇc”ӳҪώc(f)(x)ώcbʽ(f)(x)}Ŀ̶ӛ}Ŀ`(jng)^y(tng)Ӌl(f)F(xin)ܶУĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)nώĩԇǰoW(xu)ԇc_ 71.95%мs 40%ČW(xu)ӳԇ}Ŀ̶ӛ 32%ČW(xu)ʾԇ}Ŀ`āf@TnmȻyW(xu)W(xu)ԇ󣬿ԇ^P(gun)ʸ@Ҳ(do)ŒW(xu)^ɢ(yng)ČW(xu)(x)B(ti)ȡ

Ľy(tng)ӋW(xu)nI(y)rڻՆʾώżI(y)ı_ 56% 27%ČW(xu)x“I(y)^”“

oI(y)”tռ 16.5%@fԓňW(xu)n(x)Ȳ󣬌W(xu)(x)΄(w)^p

{(dio)l(f)F(xin)Ŀǰy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵Ҫ˷ʽ]ԇ 74%ĸУy(tng)Ӌn̶x@Ny(tng)ʽڬF(xin)AεĿʽW(xu)^ڴĿ˷ʽ׫`49.39%ČW(xu)ϣԓn̲ȡ׫`ķʽnՓģx]ԇıH18.9%

y(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵ČW(xu) һW(xu)ի@ {(dio)nW(xu)(x)eOԡy(tng)ӋW(xu)ԼI(y)ǷЎյĽy(tng)Ӌ@cַW(xu)W(xu)(x)y(tng)ӋW(xu)ի@̶nW(xu)(x)r164 ݆xżdώn_ 56%“(jng)n”“δn”ıքe 24%20%^󲿷ֶW(xu)(x)W(xu)(x)ĠB(ti)

Ľy(tng)ӋW(xu)ԼI(y)Ď̶ȿ 29.3%Lx“dz”42.1%Lx“^”y(tng)ӋW(xu)ČW(xu)Ƶλ@

M

M{(dio)ňW(xu)MȺͽy(tng)ӋW(xu)n̵ĿwMǰߵĝMrچǸ(j)“̎ڌňW(xu)ܛcՓ֪RĽY(ji)϶”wF(xin)

wW(xu)y(tng)ӋW(xu)n係wur^{(dio)l(f)F(xin)MͺܝMքeռ 30% 11%^M⼰ϵռ 12%

ġh һ̲ĵx ̲ĵxҕy(tng)ӋcW(xu)I(y)㕽ʹy(tng)Ӌò䱾I(y)ČH(yng)ãW(xu)dȤҲˣһxý̲ĕr(sh)W(xu)Ҫ󲻸ߵČI(y)ƫ(yng)͵Ľ̲ʽƌ(do)һώnr(yng)ڲͬI(y)֮gD(zhun)ͬĽ̌W(xu)˼SerMʹкόW(xu)I(y)g(sh)Z

ƶmĽ̌W(xu)Ӌ䌍nՓnĽ̌W(xu)nr ՓnĽ̌W(xu)O(sh)ӋԷ֞ɂ֣һǽy(tng)ӋA(ch)ՓcĽBڽy(tng)ӋԭvһԓcI(y)Y(ji)ϵĽy(tng)Ӌ(yng)ע،I(y)֮g㕽

ŠW(xu)ʽʹ̌W(xu)ʽɂy(tng)ݔʽ򻥄ʽD(zhun)׃ ՓnԽy(tng)ӋԭvڞԌHoώW(xu)֮gĻӣώoİ(yng)кόHW(xu)׶ΌW(xu)(yng)

naP(gun)֪RſncеĜͨώ߀(yng)߂^õnýM

ģM˷ӏCĿ ^ȥһĿ˷ʽҪ@ϵՓͷM]ԇώcW(xu)Rĥԇһ^֪RҲW(xu)“˿ԇW(xu)(x)”äĿCе@NÌW(xu)ֶ(yng)ԇW(xu)oսy(tng)ӋĻՄϽy(tng)Ӌ˼SB(yng)͌`(yng)˿ԌһĿԇʽ׃ɏ(f)ͿPԇW(xu)y(tng)ӋԭԼ÷ȣ@ֳɿռ 50%nՓĄt呟W(xu)Č;CϷl(f)]W(xu)܄Ժ̈́(chung)ԣ@ֳɿռ 30%ƽrI(y)nñF(xin)B(ti)ȸռ 10%

֮y(tng)ӋW(xu)ڴ(sh)(j)rԽԽl(f)]Ҫy(tng)Ӌԭy(tng)Ӌy(tng)Ӌ˼o̎УĽy(tng)ӋW(xu)̌W(xu)Ҫĭh(hun)(ji)ᘌI(y)ʩעՓY(ji)ϰܛvB(yng)ČW(xu)y(tng)Ӌ˼SģʽȽ̌W(xu)ĸʩֵMһᳫ_չ

P(gun)~̸ y(tng)ӋW(xu) {(dio)

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